Liquidity Risk

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To receive news marketwide liquidity definition in business publication updates for Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, enter your email address in the box below. Deming Wu and Dr. This marketwide liquidity definition in business an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution Licensewhich permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Basel III banking regulation emphasizes the use of liquidity coverage and nett stable funding ratios as measures of liquidity risk. In this paper, we approximate these measures by using global liquidity data for hand-selected, LIBOR-based, Marketwide liquidity definition in business II compliant banks in 36 countries for the period to Furthermore, we use a discrete-time hazard model to study bank failure.

In this regard, we find that Basel III risk measures have limited ability to predict bank failure when compared with their traditional counterparts. An important result is that a higher liquidity coverage ratio is associated with a higher bank failure rate. We also find that market-wide liquidity risk proxied by LIBOR-OISS was the major predictor of bank failures in and while idiosyncratic liquidity risk proxied by other liquidity risk measures was less.

In particular, our contribution is the first to achieve these results on a global scale over a relatively long period for a variety of banks. The role of banks in the maturity transformation of short-term deposits into long-term loans makes them vulnerable to liquidity risk, both of an idiosyncratic and market-wide nature see, for instance, [ 12 ].

The financial crisis that began in mid re-emphasized the importance of liquidity to financial market and banking sector functioning. Prior to the turmoil, financial markets were buoyant and funding was readily available at low cost.

The subsequent reversal in market conditions leads to the evaporation of liquidity with the accompanying illiquidity lasting for an extended period of time. The banking system came under severe stress, which necessitated central bank support for both the functioning of money markets and individual institutions see [ 2 ] for more details. In response to deficiencies in financial regulation exposed by the recent spate of crises such as the subprime mortgage, global financial and ongoing Eurozone sovereign debt crises, on Sunday, 12 Septemberthe Basel Committee on Banking Supervision BCBS announced a strengthening of existing banking rules see, marketwide liquidity definition in business instance, [ 3 — 5 ].

More specifically, Basel III was touted as a regulatory standard on bank capital adequacy, stress testing see, for instance, [ 6 ]and market liquidity risk devised by the BCBS and its subgroup Working Group on Liquidity WGL see, for instance, [ 7 ]. This is intended to reduce the risk of spill-over from the financial sector to the real economy see, [ 2 ] for further discussion.

Another objective of Basel III regulation is to increase the quantity as well as the quality of capital, with adequate capital charges needed in the trading book. Also, the regulation aims to enhance risk management and disclosure, introduce a marketwide liquidity definition in business ratio to supplement risk weighted measures, and address counter-party risk posed by over-the-counter OTC derivatives see, for instance, [ 8 — 11 ]. In Basel III, as in this paper, the maintenance of the global liquidity as well as the standards, the liquidity coverage ratio LCR and nett stable funding ratio NSFRunderlying liquidity management are important.

It will, however, be highlighted in subsequent sections of the paper that the two new Basel liquidity standards will probably not achieve their desired objectives where such standards are not coupled with other risk measures and leverage ratios see, for instance, [ 313 ]. NPAR known as the Texas ratio under certain circumstances exhibits robust bank failure predictive power see [ 1415 ]. A positive correlation exists between ROA and bank liquidity marketwide liquidity definition in business, for instance, [ 16 ].

LIBOR is the rate at which banks indicate that they are willing to lend to other banks for a specified term of the loan.

The OIS rate is the rate on a derivative contract on the overnight rate. In the US, the overnight rate is the effective federal funds rate. In such a contract, two parties agree that one will pay the other a rate of interest that is the difference between the term OIS rate and the geometric average the overnight federal funds rate over the term of the marketwide liquidity definition in business.

There is very little default risk in the OIS market because there is no exchange of principal; funds are exchanged only at the maturity of the contract, when one party pays the nett interest obligation to the other. It is a measure of market-wide liquidity risk. The difficulties experienced by some banks during the financial crisis—despite adequate capital levels—were due to lapses in basic principles of marketwide liquidity definition in business risk management see, for instance, [ 2 ].

These principles provide detailed guidance on the management and supervision of liquidity risk and is intended to promote improved liquidity risk management in the case of full implementation by banks and supervisors. To complement these principles, the BCBS has further strengthened its liquidity framework by developing two minimum standards for funding liquidity.

They are described in the ensuing discussions see, also, [ 2 ]. The LCR aims at increasing the resilience of banks under severe stress over a day period without special government or central bank support see, for instance, [ 317 ].

The LCR is a minimum requirement and, as marketwide liquidity definition in business, pertains to large internationally active banks on a consolidated basis. The severe stress scenario referred to earlier combines market-wide and idiosyncratic stress including a three notch rating downgrade, the run-off of retail and wholesale deposits, the stagnation of primary and secondary markets repo, securitization for many assets, and large cash-outflows due to off-balance sheet items OBS.

Cash, marketwide liquidity definition in business central bank reserves to the extent that these deposits can be withdrawn in times of stress; i. The latter are subject to higher haircuts and a marketwide liquidity definition in business. Symbolically this means that Total nett cash outflow is defined as the total expected cash outflow minus total expected cash inflow for the ensuing 30 calendar days.

Total expected cash inflows are calculated by multiplying the outstanding balances of various categories of contractual receivables by the rates at which they are expected to flow in under the stress scenario. Symbolically, we have NCOF is calculated by applying binding run-off parameters to the contractual outflows of liabilities as well as OBS items and marketwide liquidity definition in business assumptions to the contractual inflows from assets.

For some derivatives outflows, national discretion applies. No inflows are recognized from operational balances at other banks, receivables from reverse repos in L1As, and undrawn liquidity lines and similar facilities. Full recognition of contractual inflows is granted to reverse repos in noneligible assets and performing wholesale loans to financial institutions. Marketwide liquidity definition in business example of computing the LCR is given below. All assets included in the calculation must be unencumbered e.

The calibration of scenario run-off rates reflects a combination of the experience during the recent financial crisis, internal stress scenarios of banks and existing regulatory marketwide liquidity definition in business supervisory standards.

From these outflows, banks are permitted to subtract projected inflows for 30 calendar days into the future. The expected nett cash outflows compared with 3 are, therefore, given by As a first example, it is helpful to compute the LCR for Bank A. Bank A holds six types of assets, namely, cash, reserves, treasury securities, government and corporate bonds, and retail loans. In particular, reserves and treasuries are L1As, and we suppose that corporate bonds are L2As.

Bank A funds itself using a combination of stable and less stable deposits, unsecured wholesale funding nonfinancial corporate with no operational relationshipovernight interbank borrowing, borrowings from the central bank, and equity. Marketwide liquidity definition in business 1 presents the balance sheet item values.

Using to denote the run-off rate for liabilities of type and letting denote contractual outflows, we have where the run-off rate for stable retail deposits, less stable retail deposits, and unsecured wholesale funding are taken to be 7. Clearly, the objective of the NSFR is to reduce the maturity mismatch between assets marketwide liquidity definition in business liabilities with remaining contractual maturities of one marketwide liquidity definition in business or more see, for instance, [ 12 ].

Stable funding is defined as the type of equity and liability financing expected from reliable sources during a stress marketwide liquidity definition in business. It is important to note that in order to avoid reliance on central banks, funding from such banks is not considered in the evaluation of the NSFR liquidity standard. In order to determine the actual ASF, the aforementioned capital and liability types marketwide liquidity definition in business to be multiplied by a specific ASF factor assigned to each type.

Required stable funding RSF is defined as the weighted sum of the value of assets held and funded by the bank multiplied by a specific RSF factor assigned to each particular asset type. The weights are loosely linked to the run-off rates in the LCR: This bank holds three types of assets, namely, cash, government bonds, and retail loans. Bank B funds itself using a combination of stable and less stable deposits, unsecured wholesale funding nonfinancial corporate with no operational relationshipand equity.

Table 2 presents the balance sheet item values. Hence, the NSFR,of the bank is given by. In this subsection, we discuss issues related to the relationship between liquidity risk and bank failures. In this regard, we estimate a discrete-time hazard model, in which the conditional bank failure rate is linked to insolvency and liquidity risks. In this model, the log-hazard,is specified as which consists of a constanta component associated with insolvency risk,and a part attributed to liquidity risk.

It is well-known that variables affecting bank insolvency risk include capital adequacy, asset quality, profitability, and local economic conditions. Since the aforementioned sum can be regarded as the effective capital of a bank, is a measure of leverage. Also, is the ratio of ROA,to the market discount rate. We expect the coefficient on the market valuation component,to be negative, with increases in ROA reducing the hazard, while an increase in the market discount rate increases the hazard see, for instance, [ 16 ].

The leverage term,serves as an amplifier for the effects of changes in and. The second component,is the ratio of intangible capital,to effective capital,with the book value of capital,and tangible common equity. Beforehand, we have no expectation about the sign of the coefficient. On the one hand, increases the capital buffer, so one would expect it to reduce the hazard. On the marketwide liquidity definition in business hand, intangible capital could overinflate the reported capital, which could lead to a positive sign on this coefficient.

The third component,is the ratio of the interest income from loans,to effective capital,where loan yields and total loans are denoted by andrespectively.

We expect the loan interest income coefficient,to have a negative sign. Similarly, the fourth component,is the ratio of interest income from securities,to effective capital. We expect their coefficient,to have a negative sign. The fifth component,is the ratio of interest expense,to effective capital.

We expect its coefficient,to have a positive sign. The sixth component,is the ratio of nett noninterest income,to effective capital. Beforehand, we do not have any expectation about the sign of. On the one hand, an income would reduce the hazard. On the other, if this income is associated with taking additional risk, it would increase the hazard. The seventh component is the NPAR,that is the ratio of nonperforming assets,to effective capital.

We expect its coefficient,to be positive. The eighth component,is the interaction term between the NPAR,and the change in housing price indices. We expect its coefficient,to be negative, as rising housing prices would reduce the loss severity. Marketwide liquidity definition in business expect associated withthe interaction term between the NPAR ratio and the change in unemployment rates,to be positive because a high unemployment rate would increase the loss severity.

The liquidity risk consists of two components. The first is the idiosyncratic component that differentiates between banks with strong and weak liquidity risk management practice. For example, a marketwide liquidity definition in business with more rigorous liquidity risk management is less exposed to idiosyncratic risk. The second component is the market-wide liquidity risk that affects every bank.

For example, a severe liquidity disruption in the market could cause a shortage of funding for many banks. We expect the coefficient of the LCR,to be negative, as banks marketwide liquidity definition in business more liquid assets are less likely to encounter liquidity difficulties. Finally, the coefficient on the NSFR,is expected to be negative, as banks with more stable funding marketwide liquidity definition in business less likely to run into funding problems.

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In business , economics or investment , market liquidity is a market's feature whereby an individual or firm can quickly purchase or sell an asset without causing a drastic change in the asset's price. Liquidity is about how big the trade-off is between the speed of the sale and the price it can be sold for. In a liquid market, the trade-off is mild: In a relatively illiquid market, selling it quickly will require cutting its price by some amount.

Money, or cash , is the most liquid asset, because it can be "sold" for goods and services instantly with no loss of value. There is no wait for a suitable buyer of the cash. There is no trade-off between speed and value. It can be used immediately to perform economic actions like buying, selling, or paying debt, meeting immediate wants and needs. If an asset is moderately or very liquid, it has moderate or high liquidity. In an alternative definition, liquidity can mean the amount of cash and cash equivalents.

If a business has sufficient liquidity, it has a sufficient amount of very liquid assets and the ability to meet its payment obligations. An act of exchanging a less liquid asset for a more liquid asset is called liquidation. Often liquidation is trading the less liquid asset for cash, also known as selling it. An asset's liquidity can change.

For the same asset, its liquidity can change through time or between different markets, such as in different countries. The change in the asset's liquidity is just based on the market liquidity for the asset at the particular time or in the particular country, etc.

The liquidity of a product can be measured as how often it is bought and sold. Liquidity can be enhanced through share buy-backs or repurchases.

Liquidity is defined formally in many accounting regimes and has in recent years been more strictly defined. Other rules require diversifying counterparty risk and portfolio stress testing against extreme scenarios, which tend to identify unusual market liquidity conditions and avoid investments that are particularly vulnerable to sudden liquidity shifts.

A liquid asset has some or all of the following features: It can be sold rapidly, with minimal loss of value, anytime within market hours. The essential characteristic of a liquid market is that there are always ready and willing buyers and sellers. It is similar to, but distinct from, market depth , which relates to the trade-off between quantity being sold and the price it can be sold for, rather than the liquidity trade-off between speed of sale and the price it can be sold for.

A market may be considered both deep and liquid if there are ready and willing buyers and sellers in large quantities. An illiquid asset is an asset which is not readily salable without a drastic price reduction, and sometimes not at any price due to uncertainty about its value or the lack of a market in which it is regularly traded.

Before the crisis, they had moderate liquidity because it was believed that their value was generally known. Speculators and market makers are key contributors to the liquidity of a market or asset. Speculators are individuals or institutions that seek to profit from anticipated increases or decreases in a particular market price. Market makers seek to profit by charging for the immediacy of execution: By doing this, they provide the capital needed to facilitate the liquidity.

The risk of illiquidity does not apply only to individual investments: Financial institutions and asset managers that oversee portfolios are subject to what is called "structural" and "contingent" liquidity risk.

Structural liquidity risk, sometimes called funding liquidity risk, is the risk associated with funding asset portfolios in the normal course of business. Contingent liquidity risk is the risk associated with finding additional funds or replacing maturing liabilities under potential, future stressed market conditions. When a central bank tries to influence the liquidity supply of money, this process is known as open market operations.

The market liquidity of assets affects their prices and expected returns. Theory and empirical evidence suggests that investors require higher return on assets with lower market liquidity to compensate them for the higher cost of trading these assets. In addition, risk-averse investors require higher expected return if the asset's market-liquidity risk is greater. Here too, the higher the liquidity risk, the higher the expected return on the asset or the lower is its price.

One example of this is a comparison of assets with and without a liquid secondary market. The liquidity discount is the reduced promised yield or expected a return for such assets, like the difference between newly issued U.

Treasury bonds compared to off the run treasuries with the same term to maturity. Initial buyers know that other investors are less willing to buy off-the-run treasuries, so the newly issued bonds have a higher price and hence lower yield.

In the futures markets , there is no assurance that a liquid market may exist for offsetting a commodity contract at all times. Some future contracts and specific delivery months tend to have increasingly more trading activity and have higher liquidity than others.

The most useful indicators of liquidity for these contracts are the trading volume and open interest. There is also dark liquidity , referring to transactions that occur off-exchange and are therefore not visible to investors until after the transaction is complete. It does not contribute to public price discovery. In banking, liquidity is the ability to meet obligations when they come due without incurring unacceptable losses.

Managing liquidity is a daily process requiring bankers to monitor and project cash flows to ensure adequate liquidity is maintained. Maintaining a balance between short-term assets and short-term liabilities is critical.

For an individual bank, clients' deposits are its primary liabilities in the sense that the bank is meant to give back all client deposits on demand , whereas reserves and loans are its primary assets in the sense that these loans are owed to the bank, not by the bank. The investment portfolio represents a smaller portion of assets, and serves as the primary source of liquidity. Investment securities can be liquidated to satisfy deposit withdrawals and increased loan demand.

Banks have several additional options for generating liquidity, such as selling loans, borrowing from other banks , borrowing from a central bank , such as the US Federal Reserve bank , and raising additional capital. In a worst-case scenario, depositors may demand their funds when the bank is unable to generate adequate cash without incurring substantial financial losses. In severe cases, this may result in a bank run. Most banks are subject to legally mandated requirements intended to help avoid a liquidity crisis.

Banks can generally maintain as much liquidity as desired because bank deposits are insured by governments in most developed countries.

A lack of liquidity can be remedied by raising deposit rates and effectively marketing deposit products. However, an important measure of a bank's value and success is the cost of liquidity.

A bank can attract significant liquid funds. Lower costs generate stronger profits, more stability, and more confidence among depositors, investors, and regulators. In the market, liquidity has a slightly different meaning, although still tied to how easily assets, in this case shares of stock, can be converted to cash. Generally, this translates to where the shares are traded and the level of interest that investors have in the company.

For illiquid stocks, the spread can be much larger, amounting to a few percent of the trading price. Liquidity positively impacts the stock market. When stock prices rise, it is said to be due to a confluence of extraordinarily high levels of liquidity on household and business balance sheets, combined with a simultaneous normalization of liquidity preferences.

On the margin, this drives a demand for equity investments. One way to calculate the liquidity of the banking system of a country is to divide liquid assets by short term liabilities. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. For the accounting term, see Accounting liquidity. Archived from the original on 17 April Retrieved 27 May A Treatise on Money.

First two sentences starting with "Do you know.. Archived from the original on 1 December Retrieved 27 December Archived from the original on 31 January Retrieved 2 May Archived from the original on 26 December Archived from the original on 2 May Retrieved 11 August Archived from the original on 5 August It's The Liquidity, Stupid!

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